Biomechanics and Modeling in Mechanobiology

Modelling of hemodynamics in the circle of Willis (CoW) depends on vascular segmentation, which may vary based on imaging modality. Computed tomography angiography (CTA) is commonly used in clinic but involves radiation and injection of contrast agents, whereas magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) offers a non-invasive alternative. This study aims to compare CoW morphology and modelled cerebral perfusion pressure of CTA and MRA segmentations, validating if MRA can replace CTA in modelling workflows. CTA and time-of-flight MRA (TOF-MRA) of the CoW was performed in 19 patients undergoing elective aortic arch surgery (67{+/-}7 years, 8 women). The CoW was semi-automatically segmented based on signal intensity thresholding. A TOF-MRA threshold was optimized against the CTA segmentation, using the CTA as reference standard. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modelling with boundary conditions based on subject-specific flow rates from 4D flow MRI simulated cerebral perfusion pressure in the segmented geometries. A baseline simulation and a unilateral brain inflow simulation, i.e., occlusion of a carotid, were carried out. Linear mixed models indicated there was no effect of choice of modality on either average arterial lumen area (CTA - TOF-MRA: -0.2{+/-}1.3 mm2; p=0.762) or baseline pressure drops (0.2{+/-}1.9 mmHg; p=0.257). In the unilateral inflow simulation, we found no difference in pressure laterality (-6.6{+/-}18.4 mmHg; p=0.185) or collateral flow rate (10{+/-}46 ml/min; p=0.421). TOF-MRA geometries can with signal intensity thresholding be matched to produce similar morphology and modelled cerebral perfusion pressure to CTA geometries. The modelled pressure drops over the collateral arteries were sensitive to the segmentation regardless of modality.

Infectious disease surveillance systems in tropical countries show that respiratory disease incidence generally manifests as year-round activity with weak fluctuations and irregular seasonality. Previously, using a ten-year time series of influenza-like illness (ILI) collected from outpatient clinics in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), Vietnam, we found a combination of nonannual and annual signals driving these dynamics, but with unknown mechanisms. In this study, we use seven stochastic dynamical models incorporating humidity, temperature, and school term to investigate plausible mechanisms behind these annual and nonannual incidence trends. We use iterated filtering to fit the models and evaluate the models by comparing how well they replicate the combination of annual and nonannual signals. We find that a model including specific humidity, temperature, and school term best fits our observed data from HCMC and partially reproduces the irregular seasonality. The estimated effects from specific humidity and temperature on transmission are nonlinearly negative but weak. School dismissal is associated with decreased transmission, but also with low magnitude. Under these weak external drivers, we hypothesize that stochasticity makes a strong sub-annual cycle more likely to be observed in ILI disease dynamics. Our study shows a possible mechanism for respiratory disease dynamics in the tropics. When the external drivers are weak, the seasonality of respiratory disease dynamics is prone to the influence of stochasticity.

Understanding how cells migrate through confined environments is crucial for elucidating fundamental biological processes, including cancer invasion, immune surveillance, and tissue morphogenesis. The nucleus, as the largest and stiffest cellular organelle, often limits cellular deformability, making it a key factor in migration through narrow pores or highly constrained spaces. In this work, we introduce a geometric surface partial differential equation (GS-PDE) model in which the cell plasma membrane and nuclear envelope are described as evolving energetic closed surfaces governed by force-balance equations. We replicate the results of a biophysical experiment, where a microfluidic device is used to impose compressive stresses on cells by driving them through narrow microchannels under a controlled pressure gradient. The model is validated by reproducing cell entry into the microchannels. A parametric sensitivity analysis highlights the dominant influence of specific parameters, whose accurate estimation is essential for faithfully capturing the experimental setup. We found that surface tension and confinement geometry emerge as key determinants of translocation efficiency. Although tailored to this specific setup for validation purposes, the framework is sufficiently general to be applied to a broad range of cell mechanics scenarios, providing a robust and flexible tool for investigating the interplay between cell mechanics and confinement. It also offers a solid foundation for future extensions integrating more complex biochemical processes such as active confined migration.

Network-based epidemic models have been instrumental in understanding how contact structure shapes infectious disease dynamics, yet widely used frameworks such as Erd[o]s-Renyi, configuration-model, and stochastic block networks do not explicitly capture the combination of fully accessible (saturated) within-group interactions and constrained between-group connectivity characteristic of many real-world settings. Here, we introduce the Multi-Clique (MC) network model, a generative framework in which individuals are organised into fully connected cliques representing stable contact groups (e.g., households, classrooms, or workplaces), with a limited number of external connections governing inter-group transmission. Using stochastic susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) simulations on degree-matched networks, we compare epidemic dynamics on MC networks with those on classical random graph models. Despite having an identical mean degree, MC networks exhibit systematically distinct behaviour, including slower epidemic growth, reduced peak prevalence, increased fade-out probability, and delayed time to peak. These effects arise from rapid within but constrained between clique transmission, creating structural bottlenecks that standard models do not capture. The MC framework provides an interpretable, data-driven representation of recurrent contact structure, with parameters that map directly to observable quantities such as household and classroom sizes. By isolating the role of intergroup connectivity, the model offers a basis for evaluating targeted intervention strategies that reduce between-group mixing while preserving within-group interactions. Our results highlight the importance of explicitly representing the real-life clique-based network structure in epidemic models and suggest that classical degree-matched networks may systematically overestimate epidemic speed and intensity in structured populations.

BackgroundSympathetic modulation via the stellate ganglia is increasingly recognized as a contributor to ventricular arrhythmogenesis after myocardial infarction. However, the mechanisms by which autonomic remodeling interacts with chronic infarct substrates to shape arrhythmic vulnerability remain incompletely understood. ObjectivesTo test the hypothesis that left- and right-sided stellate ganglion-mediated SNS modulation differentially reshapes ventricular arrhythmic vulnerability in chronic post-infarcted substrates, and that the RVI detects changes in vulnerability beyond conventional stimulation-based inducibility. MethodsFourteen patient-specific ventricular models with chronic post-infarcted remodeling were reconstructed from imaging data. A total of 336 simulations were performed under different combinations of stellate ganglion modulation, border zone remodeling, and fibroblast density. Arrhythmic vulnerability was quantified using 3D RVI mapping during paced rhythms and compared with conventional stimulation-based inducibility outcomes. ResultsStellate ganglion modulation induced marked, regionally heterogeneous changes in repolarization timing, resulting in lower and more negative RVI values in vulnerable regions. More negative RVI values reflect increased propensity for wavefront-waveback interaction and reentry initiation. Across the cohort, stellate modulation consistently decreased RVImin, even when inducibility outcomes remained unchanged. These findings indicate that SNS modulation can create a substrate more permissive to reentry independently of whether ventricular arrhythmia is triggered during programmed stimulation. ConclusionsStellate ganglion-mediated sympathetic modulation dynamically reshapes ventricular arrhythmic vulnerability in chronic post-infarcted substrates. RVI provides a spatially resolved, vulnerability-based metric that complements inducibility testing by revealing autonomic-substrate interactions underlying arrhythmogenesis Condensed AbstractSympathetic modulation via the stellate ganglia can alter ventricular repolarization and promote arrhythmogenesis after myocardial infarction, yet clinical responses remain heterogeneous. Using 14 patient-specific post-infarction ventricular models, we simulated left- and right-sided stellate modulation across combinations of border zone remodeling and fibrosis (336 simulations). Stellate modulation induced regionally heterogeneous repolarization shortening and reduced RVI values, even when programmed stimulation inducibility remained unchanged. These findings suggest that RVI captures substrate-level vulnerability beyond binary induction testing and may improve mechanistic assessment of autonomic-substrate interactions in chronic infarct substrates.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend aortic valve replacement (AVR) in patients with severe aortic regurgitation (AR) based on progressive changes in left ventricular (LV) function or size. We aimed to reassess the clinical relevance of current guideline recommendations pertaining to traditional echocardiographic measurements in routine practice. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of patients with severe AR who underwent serial echocardiographic follow-up over at least 18 months. The composite outcome was symptom-driven AVR, acute heart failure hospitalization, or death. We used a joint modelling approach to handle within-subject correlation and censoring. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 140 patients, with a median follow?up of 93 months (interquartile range 58?130). LV end-systolic (LVESD) and fractional shortening (FS) showed a small but statistically significant longitudinal trend, while LVEDD did not. Changes in all three parameters in parallel joint models adjusted for age and gender were consistently associated with increased risk of the composite event. Each 1?mm increase in LVESD and LVEDD was associated with a 6% and 5% increase in risk, respectively; each 1% decrease in FS corresponded to a 12% increase in risk. Only 8 (5.7%) of patients were predicted to exceed the guideline-recommended LVEDD threshold of 65 mm over 10 years. Age at onset was also a significant risk factor, with each decade increasing risk by 65% for each of the three parallel joint models. CONCLUSIONS: LV parameters show modest changes over time, despite holding strong prognostic value in patients with severe AR. LVEDD, while associated with overall risk, does not predictably or significantly dilate over time in most patients. AVR decisions should be based on comprehensive clinical and volumetric assessment rather than waiting for simple linear progression to guideline cutoffs.

Background | Angina with nonobstructive coronary arteries (ANOCA) is a heterogeneous condition encompassing distinct endotypes representing different underlying pathophysiological mechanisms. Endothelial dysfunction is considered a central hallmark of ANOCA. However, studying patient-derived endothelial cells (ECs) remains challenging due to the limited availability of disease-specific endothelial samples. We therefore aimed to assess the feasibility of isolating and culturing ECs from catheterization material obtained during routine coronary function testing in ANOCA patients. Methods | Catheterization material was collected from 79 ANOCA patients (84% female, age 58{+/-}10 years) undergoing coronary function testing. ECs were isolated, expanded and characterized using immunostaining, flow cytometry, gene expression profiling and functional assays. Results | EC isolation was successful in 43% of cases and resulted in 34 primary EC cultures that were expanded up to passage 10. Isolation success was independent of clinical or procedural characteristics. Isolated cells exhibited typical EC morphology and expressed EC markers confirmed by immunostaining, flow cytometry and gene expression analyses. EC marker gene expression remained largely stable over passages. However, stress- and defense-related gene expression programs increased over time, while proliferation-related processes decreased. Functional assays demonstrated that the coronary catheterization-derived ECs showed typical properties of wound healing, angiogenesis, activation responses upon stimuli and monocyte adhesion. Conclusions | This study demonstrates the feasibility of isolating and expanding ECs directly from catheterization material collected during routine coronary function testing in ANOCA patients. These patient-derived ECs retain characteristic endothelial features and functionality. This approach offers primary EC cultures to study the mechanisms underlying endothelial dysfunction in ANOCA.

Childhood socioeconomic position (SEP) can have lifelong effects on health. Many studies have used adult height as a surrogate marker for early-life conditions. In this study, we derived the non-genetic component of height, calculated as the residual from sex-specific standardized height regressed on genetically predicted height, as a surrogate for childhood SEP, using data from the Hispanic Community Healthy Study/Study of Latinos (2008-2011). A positive residual would indicate favorable early-life conditions promoting growth, while a negative residual indicates early-life adversity that may stunt the development. The height residual was associated with early-life variables such as parental education, year of birth, US nativity and age at first migration to the US (50 states/DC), supporting the validity of height residual as a surrogate for early-life conditions. Furthermore, a height residual was positively associated with better cardiovascular health (CVH) and cognitive function among middle-aged and older adults. Interestingly, among <35 years old, the height residual was negatively associated with the "Lifes Essential 8" clinical CVH scores. These results suggest the non-genetic component of height as a surrogate for childhood environment, with predictive value for CVH and cognitive function.

Background and Aims: Acute myocarditis (AM) is a T cell-mediated myocardial disease with clinical manifestations ranging from mild chest pain to cardiogenic shock. Reliable biomarkers to stratify patients and guide therapy are currently lacking. In particular, the extent of the dysregulation of inflammatory pathways, and the impact on myocardial dysfunction, remain elusive. Methods: Serum analyses were performed in prospectively recruited AM patients (n = 103) from two independent cohorts. Multimodal data integration combining profiling of cytokine and chemokine dysregulation with clinical biomarkers was used to define clinical phenotypes with distinct inflammatory signatures. Machine-learning and regression models were applied to determine biomarkers that indicate clinical severity. Results: Immuno-proteomic profiling revealed conserved inflammatory patterns across AM cohorts, dominated by T cell-related cytokines and chemokines. In addition, AM patients showed dysregulation of fibroblast-derived cytokines, including hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), bone morphogenic protein 4 (BMP4) and the BMP4 inhibitors Gremlin-1 (GREM1) and Gremlin-2 (GREM2). Data integration and unsupervised clustering revealed two immuno-clinical phenotypes, linking T cell activation and fibroblast dysregulation to disease severity. Machine learning-based analysis identified CXCL10, GREM2 and LVEF as critical parameters for stratifying disease severity. Conclusions: These findings highlight a systemic T cell activation signature as diagnostic hallmark of AM. In addition, dysregulation of fibroblast-derived tissue cytokines serves as an indicator for distinct immuno-clinical phenotypes in myocardial inflammatory disease. Thus, the clinically relevant link between T cell-driven immune activation, myocardial inflammation and fibroblast-driven remodelling provides a versatile set of parameters to identify severe manifestations of AM.

Class imbalance in clinical electrocardiogram (ECG) datasets limits the diagnostic sensitivity of automated arrhythmia classifiers, particularly for rare but clinically significant beat types. We propose a three-stage hybrid generative pipeline that combines a spectral-guided conditional Variational Autoencoder (cVAE), a class-conditional latent Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM), and a Quantum Latent Refinement (QLR) module built on parameterized quantum circuits to augment minority arrhythmia classes in the MIT-BIH Arrhythmia Database. The QLR module applies a bounded residual correction guided by Maximum Mean Discrepancy minimization to align synthetic latent distributions with real class-specific latent banks. A lightweight 1D MobileNetV2 classifier evaluated over five independent random seeds and four augmentation ratios serves as the downstream benchmark. Our findings establish latent diffusion augmentation as an effective strategy for imbalanced ECG classification and motivate further investigation of quantum-classical hybrid methods in cardiac diagnostics.

Purpose: Spatial distribution of coronary artery calcium (CAC) may provide additional prognostic value in patients undergoing SPECT and PET myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). We aimed to automatically identify CAC in proximal segments from attenuation correction CT (CTAC) scans using artificial intelligence (AI) and to evaluate prognostic significance in two large international multicenter registries. Methods: From hybrid MPI/CT imaging (N=43,099) across 15 sites, we included 4,552 most relevant patients with 1) no prior coronary artery disease; 2) AI-derived mild CAC scores (1-99); and 3) normal perfusion (stress total perfusion deficit <5%). The independent associations between AI-identified proximal CAC and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause mortality (ACM) were evaluated using multivariable Cox regression, likelihood ratio test (LRT), and continuous net reclassification index (NRI). Results: Among the patients with mild CAC and normal perfusion (mean age 65{+/-}12 years, 51% male), 1,730 (38%) had proximal CAC. Over 3.6 (inter-quartile interval 2.1, 5.2) years follow up, 599 (13%) and 444 (10%) patients had MACE or ACM, respectively. Proximal CAC was associated with an increased risk of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.24, 95% CI 1.03-1.48, P=0.02) and ACM (adjusted HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.01-1.53, P=0.04) after the adjustment of CAC score and density, clinical risk factors, and perfusion deficit. Proximal CAC improved the risk stratification of MACE (LRT P=0.02; NRI 12%) and ACM (LRT P=0.04; NRI 12%). Conclusion: In patients with mild CAC and normal perfusion, AI detection of proximal CAC identified a higher-risk group for adverse outcomes, highlighting its prognostic utility.

Aims: Responses to remote pulmonary artery pressure data vary across programs. We evaluated SMART-HF, a structured pulmonary artery diastolic pressure (PAD)-guided workflow, in a community heart failure cohort. Methods: We retrospectively analysed adults with heart failure and an implanted pulmonary artery pressure sensor managed with SMART-HF. Pulmonary artery diastolic pressure (PAD) was calculated from prespecified 14-day windows at baseline, 90 days, and 6 months. Two hemodynamic management performance indices (HMPI) were prespecified: the 6-Month Delta HMPI (PAD reduction >2 mmHg from baseline) and the 90-Day Target HMPI (PAD [&le;]20 mmHg at 90 days). Exploratory analyses evaluated patients with baseline PAD >20 mmHg. Results: Of 37 patients, 36 had paired 90-day and 29 had paired 6-month windows. Mean PAD decreased from 18.3 +/- 7.0 to 16.1 +/- 6.3 mmHg at 90 days and from 18.8 +/- 6.8 to 15.5 +/- 5.8 mmHg at 6 months (both P < 0.001). The 90-Day Target HMPI was achieved in 26/36 (72.2%) and the 6-Month Delta HMPI in 19/29 (65.5%) [95% CI 45.7-82.1]. In the exploratory subgroup (baseline PAD >20 mmHg), mean PAD changes were -2.9 +/- 3.6 mmHg at 90 days (n = 19; P = 0.002) and -4.9 +/- 4.9 mmHg at 6 months (n = 15; P = 0.002). Conclusions: SMART-HF was associated with improved ambulatory pulmonary artery diastolic pressure control at 90 days and 6 months. Exploratory subgroup findings support further evaluation in patients with elevated baseline pulmonary artery diastolic pressure.

Population ageing increases the importance of cognitive capacity for making decisions about retirement and living independently beyond it. We tested whether post-war educational expansion and working-life social mobility eliminate the association between social class of origin and cognition in early old age using the 1958 National Child Development Study. Two outcomes were analysed at age 62: standard episodic memory (immediate + delayed word recall) and long-term episodic memory, capturing accurate half-century recall of childhood household facts (rooms and people at age 11 validated against mothers' responses). Social mobility trajectories derived in prior work were classified into predominantly manual versus non-manual class trajectories. Models were estimated separately for women and men across three specifications: (i) social origin and controls, (ii) adding social mobility, and (iii) adding weighting to address healthy survivor bias. Education was consistently associated with both outcomes. For long-term episodic memory, social origin gradients were clearer than for short-term episodic memory, with men from service/professional origins showing a 13 percentage-point higher probability of accurate half-century recall than men from manual origins. These findings indicate that education expansion and working-life social mobility failed to release the grip of social origin on long-term episodic memory.

Background: Late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) quantification by cardiovascular magnetic resonance is central to risk stratification in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), yet conventional techniques require contour tracing and region-of-interest (ROI) placement, which may reduce reproducibility and increase analysis time. We developed a novel visual standardized approach, the Visual Standardized Quantification of LGE (VISTAQ), that does not require myocardial contouring, arbitrary ROI positioning, or dedicated post-processing software. Methods: In this multicenter, multivendor retrospective study, LGE images from 400 patients (100 prior myocardial infarction, 250 HCM, 50 other non-ischemic heart diseases) were analyzed. VISTAQ subdivides each myocardial segment into transmural mini-segments and classifies LGE visually using predefined criteria, expressing global LGE burden as the percentage of positive mini-segments. Reproducibility was assessed in 250 patients across different observer expertise levels using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) and Bland?Altman analysis. In 100 HCM patients, VISTAQ was compared with conventional methods (mean+2SD, +5SD, +6SD, FWHM, visual thresholding). Prognostic performance was evaluated in 250 HCM patients over a median 5-year follow-up. Results: VISTAQ demonstrated excellent intra- and inter-observer reproducibility (ICC up to 0.98 and 0.97, respectively), consistent across disease subtypes. Compared with conventional techniques, VISTAQ showed similar ICC to FWHM but significantly lower net and absolute inter-observer differences (median absolute difference 1.3%). Mean+2SD markedly overestimated LGE, whereas mean+6SD slightly underestimated LGE compared with VISTAQ, mean+5SD, FWHM, and visual thresholding. Analysis time was substantially shorter with VISTAQ (median 105 vs. 375 seconds, p<0.0001). During follow-up, 21 hard cardiac events occurred in HCM population. An LGE threshold >10% predicted events with higher accuracy using VISTAQ (AUC 0.90; sensitivity 85%; specificity 94%) compared with mean+6SD (AUC 0.75; sensitivity 57%; specificity 93%). Conclusions: VISTAQ provides highly reproducible, time-efficient LGE quantification without dedicated software and demonstrates non-inferior prognostic discrimination in HCM compared with conventional threshold-based techniques.

Background: Deep brain stimulation (DBS) is a treatment option for Parkinson disease (PD). However, the effect of DBS on the arterial pressure (AP) remains unexplored. We aimed to develop an artificial baroreflex system for treating orthostatic hypotension (OH) due to central baroreflex failure in patients with PD. To achieve this, we developed an appropriate algorithm after estimating the dynamic responses of the AP to DBS using a white noise system identification method. Methods: We randomly performed DBS while measuring the AP tonometrically in 3 trials involving 3 patients with PD treated with DBS. We calculated the frequency response of the AP to the DBS using a fast Fourier transform algorithm. Finally, the feedback correction factors were determined via numerical simulation. Results: The frequency responses of the systolic AP to random DBS were identifiable in all 3 trials, and the steady state gain was 8.24 mmHg/STM. Based on these results, the proportional correction factor was set to 0.12, and the integral correction factor was set to 0.018. The computer simulation revealed that the system could quickly and effectively attenuate a sudden AP drop induced by external disturbances such as head-up tilting. Conclusion: An artificial baroreflex system with DBS may be a novel therapeutic approach for OH caused by central baroreflex failure.

Background and Aims Despite treatment, patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) are at high risk of recurrent events. Existing clinical risk scores for recurrence provide only moderate predictive performance and rely largely on the same conventional risk factors used to predict disease onset. Proteomics is a promising source of new biomarkers but the technologies need focused use cases in order to achieve utility and implementation. We aimed to determine whether plasma proteomics improves prediction of recurrent cardiovascular events beyond established clinical risk models in secondary prevention in a population-scale cohort. Methods Plasma proteomic profiles from ~9,300 participants in the UK Biobank with established ASCVD at baseline were analysed using machine learning methods to derive and evaluate proteomic predictors of recurrent cardiovascular events. The top performing model comprised proteins with non-zero weights (full protein score). Predictive performance of the proteomic predictors, an established clinical risk score (SMART2), and their combination was evaluated across six pre-defined testing datasets representing multiple ethnic and geographic groups. A parsimonious set of proteins with existing clinical-grade enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) available was then derived. Results The full protein score achieved higher performance for recurrent ASCVD than the SMART2 risk score across all ethnic and geographic subgroups (mean C-index 0.743 vs 0.653). Adding the full protein score to SMART2 improved discrimination, with the largest increase in White Irish participants ({Delta}C-index, 0.140; 95% CI, 0.074-0.205; P<0.001). However, adding SMART2 to the protein score provided minimal additional value. The parsimonious score preserved most of the discrimination of the full protein model with C-indices of the recurrent ASCVD risk model comprising age, sex and the parsimonious protein score being nearly identical to the full protein model in the largest testing set (0.723 vs 0.728 for White British in England and Wales). The parsimonious protein score showed a marked gradient of risk with the top, middle and bottom quintiles showing 10-year recurrent ASCVD rates of ~27.4%, ~9.6% and ~2.4%, respectively. Conclusions In patients with established ASCVD, plasma protein measurements substantially improved prediction of recurrent events beyond conventional clinical risk factors, supporting their potential as a complementary tool to guide secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

Systemic inflammation is implicated in various diseases, yet its upstream determinants remain poorly examined. We conducted a large scale two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) study to systematically evaluate the potential causal effects of 3,213 molecular (metabolomic, proteomic), physiological and disease traits on circulating interleukin-6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. Genetic instruments were derived from genome wide association studies and analysed using inverse variance weighted (IVW), weighted median, and MR-Egger methods with multiple testing correction. Bidirectional MR was performed to assess reverse causation. After Bonferroni correction, evidence of potential causal effects was observed for 72 traits on CRP and 9 traits on IL-6. CRP was predominantly influenced by metabolomic traits, especially lipid and fatty acid measures. Genetically proxied adiposity (body mass index and obesity), triglyceride rich lipoproteins, glycoprotein acetyls (GlycA), and apolipoprotein E increased CRP levels, whereas HDL-related cholesterols, polyunsaturated fatty acids, and glutamine decreased CRP. Most associations were consistent across MR methods, supporting the robustness of these results. As expected, IL-6 had a large effect on CRP. IL-6 was influenced by primarily adiposity and HDL-related lipid measures, with generally smaller effect sizes and limited support across sensitivity analyses. Bidirectional analyses indicated little evidence that CRP directly drives metabolic traits when restricting to cis-acting instruments, whereas genetically proxied IL-6 signalling showed consistent downstream effects on HDL particle concentration and composition. Adiposity is a shared upstream determinant of both inflammatory biomarkers, with stronger and broader effects on CRP. These findings suggest that CRP acts as an integrated downstream readout of systemic inflammatory burden, whereas IL-6 reflects a more tightly regulated and context-dependent process. Our work clarifies traits that may causally influence systemic inflammation and highlights biological pathways linking inflammation to cardiometabolic and inflammatory diseases. By mapping upstream determinants of IL-6 and CRP, we also provide a resource to prioritise key drivers for mechanistic study and therapeutic targeting.

Abstract Background: ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is reported to be a leading cause of mortality worldwide. While cardiac troponins are the gold standard for myocardial injury detection but creatine kinase-MB (CK-MB) and total creatine phosphokinase (CPK) retain prognostic use in resource-limited settings. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic significance of admission CK-MB and CPK levels in STEMI patients and to assess their association with hematological parameters for integrated risk stratification. Methods: This cross-sectional study enrolled 15 consecutive STEMI patients from the Punjab Institute of Cardiology, Lahore, during January 2024. Comprehensive laboratory analysis including cardiac biomarkers (CK-MB, CPK, troponin-I, LDH), complete blood count, renal function, serum electrolytes, and metabolic parameters, was performed on admission. Pearson correlation and comparative statistical analyses were also conducted to assess the relationships between cardiac biomarkers and hematological indices. Results: The cohort includes 15 patients (mean age 50.1 +/- 12.2 years; 73.3% male). Cardiac biomarker elevation was prevalent: CK-MB was elevated in 12/15 (80%), CPK was elevated in 12/15 (80%), with concordant elevation in 11/15 (73.3%), which indicates extensive myocardial necrosis. Troponin-I showed the highest elevation rate at 13/15 (86.7%). Hematological abnormalities included anemia (60%), WBC elevation (53.3%), and RBC reduction (40%). Random glucose averaged 150.80 +/- 63.55 mg/dL, with 66.7% highlighted the hyperglycemia. Remarkably, electrolyte balance was preserved in all of the patients (0% sodium, potassium, and bicarbonate abnormalities), indicating maintained homeostasis. Pearson correlation analysis revealed a significant correlation between CK-MB and CPK (r = 0.615, p = 0.0126), while correlations between cardiac biomarkers and hematological parameters were weak (p > 0.05). Risk stratification identified 53.3% of patients as high-risk who required intensive management. Conclusions: CK-MB and CPK demonstrate significant concordance and retain prognostic value in STEMI patients, particularly in resource-limited settings where troponin access may be constrained. While troponin-I remains the most sensitive biomarker, combined assessment of conventional cardiac enzymes supports reliable evaluation of myocardial injury. Hematological parameters reflect systemic response but show limited correlation with cardiac biomarkers.

Background: Our group previously reported that lung cancer (LC) screening history results and subsequent timing of diagnosis are associated with significant differences in survival outcomes. As a follow-up study, we sought to develop novel personalized risk models that considered screening history for incidence cancers, interval LCs, and prevalence LCs. Methods: Using data from the CT-arm of the NLST, four independent case-control analyses were conducted to develop parsimonious risk models. Controls (n=26,038) were those never diagnosed with LC. The four LC case groups were 270 prevalence LCs, 44 interval LCs, 206 screen-detected LCs (SDLCs) that had a baseline positive screen, and 164 SDLCs that had a baseline negative screen. For each case-control analysis, univariable analyses identified statistically significant covariates from 48 variables and then significant covariates were included into a stepwise backward selection approach to identify a model with the most informative covariates. Results: For prevalence LCs, the model (AUC=0.711) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, smoking status, smoking onset age, personal history of cancer, family history of LC, alcohol consumption, and milling occupation. For interval LCs, the model (AUC=0.734) included age, smoking status, smoking onset age, cigar smoking, marital status, and asbestos occupation. For baseline positive SDLCs, the model (AUC=0.685) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, emphysema, chemicals/plastics exposure, and milling occupation. For baseline negative SDLCs, the model (AUC=0.701) included age, pack-years smoked, BMI, smoking status, emphysema, sarcoidosis, and sandblasting occupation. Conclusions: Besides smoking and age, which are inclusion criteria for screening, these models identified other important risk factors which could be used to provide personalized LC risk assessment and screening management.

Medical male circumcision (MMC) is an established HIV prevention intervention, yet concerns persist that circumcised men may adopt higher-risk sexual behaviours following the procedure. Evidence from observational studies has been inconsistent, partly because many analyses do not adequately distinguish behaviours that occur before circumcision from those that occur afterward. This study assessed the association between MMC and subsequent sexual behaviours while demonstrating how population-based cross-sectional survey data can be adapted to address this temporal challenge. We analysed nationally representative data from the 2024 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey (ZDHS), including men aged 15 - 59 years who reported their circumcision status. Men who had undergone medical circumcision were compared with uncircumcised men using a matched pseudo-cohort framework that reconstructed temporal ordering based on age at circumcision. Propensity score overlap weighting was applied to improve comparability between circumcised and uncircumcised men, and odds ratios were estimated using logistic regression models incorporating overlap weights and accounting for the complex survey design. Sexual behaviour outcomes occurring after circumcision included condom non-use at last sexual intercourse, multiple sexual partners in the past 12 months, self-reported sexually transmitted infection (STI) symptoms, and composite measures of sexual risk behaviour. The analysis included 9,609 men, of whom 33.3% were medically circumcised. MMC was associated with lower odds of condom non-use at last sexual intercourse (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67 - 0.85) and lower odds of reporting any sexual risk behaviour (aOR = 0.83, 95% CI: 0.72 - 0.95). No meaningful associations were observed between MMC and reporting multiple sexual partners, self-reported STI symptoms, or higher levels of composite sexual risk behaviour. In this population-based study, MMC was not associated with sexual risk compensation under routine programme conditions within the overlap population defined by the weighting scheme, supporting the behavioural safety of MMC and illustrating the value of explicitly addressing temporality when analysing behavioural outcomes using cross-sectional survey data.